Incentives determine outcomes
If you can truly understand incentives, how people are being rewarded, you have a good chance of understanding how they will behave. Follow the incentive, and you can usually predict the outcome. Which is why I think so much of the polarization we see online today isn’t some great mystery. We built an internet that rewards attention at all costs. As a result we got an internet full of outrage, noise, and content engineered to keep people fired up and scrolling.
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